I majored in political science, but I'm not a political pundit. In the last 20 minutes, two headlines surprised me. First, America's mayor got trounced in the only state he's campaigned in. Second, John Edwards is dropping out. I didn't expect either of those. I expected Giuliani to win the Republican nomination pretty easily, given his reputation as a law-and-order type and his smooth handling of 9/11. But maybe Floridian Republicans didn't like his iffy stances on immigration and abortion. He probably regrets limiting his campaign thus far to Florida . . . as Michael Scott says: Play to win, because you've got to win to play.
As for John Edwards: I didn't think he would snag the nomination, but I liked him in 2004, and he was the only realistic candidate who could continue the Southern Dynasty.* It will be really interesting to see whether his supporters line up behind Clinton or Obama. (Or maybe Huckabee.)
So there you have it. Last year, I thought the 2008 election would surely be Giuliani v. Edwards. I guess I was wrong.
*Interestingly, if you ignore California, there hasn't been an elected president not from the South since Kennedy.